Levante
Real BetisThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Levante was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3.04 | +2.0 | 1.98 | |
| 2 | 1.92 | +0.1 | 0.85 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23' | Adrián De la Fuente | 0.41 | Jon Ander Olasagasti | |
| 33' | Marc Bartra | 0.06 | ||
| 45' | Enzo Bardeli | 0.01 | ||
| 48' | Rodrigo Riquelme | 0.54 | Marc Roca | |
| 55' | Roger Brugué | 0.13 | Enzo Bardeli | |
| 69' | Roger Brugué | 0.83 | ||
| 94' | Jon Ander Olasagasti | 0.48 | Etta Eyong |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69' | Roger Brugué | 0.83 | goal | |
| 48' | Rodrigo Riquelme | 0.54 | goal, header, from a corner | |
| 18' | Iván Romero | 0.48 | blocked |
Shots: Levante 19, Real Betis 20; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 5 and 2.
In the first half xG was Levante 1.19, Real Betis 0.59: a small edge for Levante. In the second half xG was Levante 2.16, Real Betis 1.33: a clear edge for Levante. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Levante scored 5 from 3.04 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Levante: −0.3 for the season (17 in the table). Real Betis: +7.9 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.