Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano 2:1

Sevilla

2:1

Rayo Vallecano

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Sevilla was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Sevilla	2	2.02	−0.0	1.46
Rayo Vallecano	1	1.91	−0.9	1.33

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
3'	Álvaro García	Rayo Vallecano	0.80
51'	Jon Guridi (penalty)	Sevilla	0.74
96'	Peque (penalty)	Sevilla	0.74

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
3'	Álvaro García	Rayo Vallecano	0.80	goal
6'	Randy Nteka	Rayo Vallecano	0.54	off target
85'	Alemão	Rayo Vallecano	0.46	saved, header, from a corner

Shots: Sevilla 13, Rayo Vallecano 6; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Sevilla 0.06, Rayo Vallecano 1.34: a clear edge for Rayo Vallecano. In the second half xG was Sevilla 1.95, Rayo Vallecano 0.60: a clear edge for Sevilla. The edge in chances passed from Rayo Vallecano to Sevilla.

How it fits the season

Sevilla: +2.5 for the season (6 in the table). Rayo Vallecano: −1.5 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Alavés — Getafe 3:0

All LaLiga matches with xG →