Valencia — Real Betis 0:1

Valencia

0:1

Real Betis

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Valencia created more (1.29 xG against 0.96) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Valencia	0	1.29	−1.3	1.60
Real Betis	1	0.96	+0.0	1.11

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
82'	Pablo García	Real Betis	0.30	Fran García

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
84'	Umar Sadiq	Valencia	0.42	saved
82'	Pablo García	Real Betis	0.30	goal
71'	Troy Parrott	Real Betis	0.28	off target

Shots: Valencia 16, Real Betis 15; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Valencia 0.44, Real Betis 0.26: about even. In the second half xG was Valencia 0.85, Real Betis 0.74: about even. Valencia scored 0 from 1.29 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Valencia: −3.7 for the season (19 in the table). Real Betis: +7.9 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

All LaLiga matches with xG →