The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Real Sociedad was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 2 | 1.53 | +0.5 | 0.94 |
| Real Sociedad | 3 | 2.33 | +0.7 | 1.87 |
Valencia: −1.9 for the season (19 in the table). Real Sociedad: +2.0 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.