Valencia — Real Sociedad 2:3

Valencia

2:3

Real Sociedad

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Real Sociedad was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Valencia	2	1.53	+0.5	0.94
Real Sociedad	3	2.33	+0.7	1.86

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
25'	Luka Sucic	Real Sociedad	0.08	Job Ochieng
56'	Aaron Mayol	Valencia	0.03	Hugo Duro
74'	Carlos Soler (penalty)	Real Sociedad	0.74
83'	Luken Beitia (own goal)	Valencia	—
90'	Ander Barrenetxea	Real Sociedad	0.04	Carlos Soler

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
93'	Aimar Blázquez	Valencia	0.47	saved, header
55'	Mikel Oyarzabal	Real Sociedad	0.38	off target
43'	Carlos Soler	Real Sociedad	0.16	blocked

Shots: Valencia 21, Real Sociedad 21; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Valencia 0.22, Real Sociedad 0.91: a small edge for Real Sociedad. In the second half xG was Valencia 1.30, Real Sociedad 1.42: about even.

How it fits the season

Valencia: −3.7 for the season (19 in the table). Real Sociedad: +7.1 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Getafe — Málaga 1:0Atlético Madrid — Real Madrid 2:1Deportivo La Coruña — Real Betis 1:1Villarreal — Levante 3:1

All LaLiga matches with xG →