Villarreal — Levante 3:1

Villarreal

3:1

Levante

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Villarreal was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Villarreal	3	4.29	−1.3	2.77
Levante	1	0.94	+0.1	0.17

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
40'	Ayoze Pérez	Villarreal	0.40	Alberto Moleiro
41'	Iván Romero	Levante	0.06	Jeremy Toljan
53'	Alberto Moleiro	Villarreal	0.57	Ilias Akhomach
85'	Georges Mikautadze	Villarreal	0.48	Alberto Moleiro

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
14'	Ayoze Pérez	Villarreal	0.60	off target
3'	Ayoze Pérez	Villarreal	0.57	blocked
53'	Alberto Moleiro	Villarreal	0.57	goal

Shots: Villarreal 21, Levante 6; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 7 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Villarreal 2.81, Levante 0.29: a big edge for Villarreal. In the second half xG was Villarreal 1.48, Levante 0.65: a clear edge for Villarreal. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Villarreal scored 3 from 4.29 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Villarreal: −7.0 for the season (8 in the table). Levante: −0.3 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Getafe — Málaga 1:0Atlético Madrid — Real Madrid 2:1Deportivo La Coruña — Real Betis 1:1Valencia — Real Sociedad 2:3

All LaLiga matches with xG →