The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Villarreal was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 3 | 4.29 | −1.3 | 2.76 |
| Levante | 1 | 0.94 | +0.1 | 0.17 |
Villarreal: −5.3 for the season (9 in the table). Levante: −1.4 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.