Levante
Levante
ElcheElche · at home, 23 Nov 2026
Win 43% · draw 22% · defeat 35%
The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.
Points. 11 points from 11.3 xPTS (−0.3). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 18th in the league, but 17th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance fewer goals conceded than expected (−5.7 vs xGA), but finishing falls short (−0.1 vs xG) — one cancels the other.
Attack. 1.34 xG per match — 12th of 20 (league average 1.57): an average attack for this league. Scored 16 goals from 16.1 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.
Defence. 2.22 xGA per match — 19th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.57): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 21 goals from 26.7 xGA — 21% fewer than expected — the luckiest goal in the league. Part of these clean sheets rests on luck rather than defending.
Playing to its level. Points (11) are close to the quality of play (11.3 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 0.92 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.28. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.4 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Win | Draw | Defeat | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| home | 2026-11-23 | 43% | 22% | 35% | 1.51 | |
| home | 2026-11-27 | 45% | 21% | 34% | 1.57 | |
| away | 2026-12-06 | 22% | 20% | 58% | 0.86 | |
| home | 2026-12-13 | 30% | 24% | 46% | 1.14 | |
| away | 2026-12-20 | 35% | 27% | 38% | 1.33 |
Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Levante and it will write when results and performance diverge.
Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.
| Place | Club | P | Points | xPTS | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 12 | 12 | 10.6 | +1.4 | |
| 16 | 12 | 12 | 14.8 | −2.8 | |
| 17 | 12 | 11 | 11.3 | −0.3 | |
| 18 | 12 | 10 | 13.7 | −3.7 | |
| 19 | 12 | 9 | 12.7 | −3.7 |