The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Clear favourites: Lyon, 66% to win against 15%.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Matches with chances like these most often end 2:0 (about 10%), then 2:1 and 1:0.
Almost one-way traffic on expected goals: Lyon 2.25 against 0.96. Similar form: Lyon 7 points from the last 5 matches, Angers 5 points.
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions