The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Rennes go in as favourites: 53% to win, 26% for the opponent.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
The most common scores at these chances: 1:2 (about 9%), 1:1 and 2:2.
The model expects Rennes to create clearly more: xG 2.21 against 1.53. Similar form: Nice 9 points from the last 5 matches, Rennes 9 points. The table flatters Nice: 3.3 points above their play, and a gap like that usually narrows.
Rennes
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions