The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: CSKA Moscow was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 2 | 2.19 | −0.2 | 1.77 |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 1 | 1.56 | −0.6 | 1.02 |
CSKA Moscow: +3.1 for the season (4 in the table). Baltika Kaliningrad: −5.2 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.