The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Fakel Voronezh created more (1.65 xG against 0.29) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 1.65 | −1.6 | 2.38 |
| Akhmat Grozny | 0 | 0.29 | −0.3 | 0.40 |
Fakel Voronezh: −5.6 for the season (16 in the table). Akhmat Grozny: −1.5 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.