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Akhmat Grozny

RPL · Russia · season 2026/27 · 14 matches · 3W 5D 6L
Place12 of 16
Points14
xPTS18.1
Δ points − xPTS−4.1
Scored / xG16 / 14.4
Conceded / xGA19 / 15.6

Next match

CSKA Moscow
VS
Akhmat Grozny

CSKA Moscow · away, 21 Nov 2026
Win 22% · draw 24% · defeat 54%

The match in numbers →

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.

CSKA Moscow 22%Baltika Kaliningrad 18%Lokomotiv Moscow 55%

What the numbers say

Points. 14 points from 18.1 xPTS (−4.1). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 10th in the league, but 12th in the table. Source of the shortfall: extra goals conceded (+3.4 vs xGA).

Attack. 1.03 xG per match — 11th of 16 (league average 1.24): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 16 goals from 14.4 xG — 11% more than expected. A small finishing bonus, still within the usual spread.

Defence. 1.11 xGA per match — 7th of 16 for solidity (league average 1.24): mid-table for chances allowed. Conceded 19 goals from 15.6 xGA — 22% more than expected. Opponents are finishing better than the quality of their chances allows.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.29 points per match: expected pace 1.3 points per match vs the current 1.0.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

0918 1 14 round 1: 1:1, Points 1, xPTS 1.8round 2: 1:2, Points 1, xPTS 3.0round 3: 0:0, Points 2, xPTS 3.3round 4: 0:1, Points 2, xPTS 4.5round 5: 4:1, Points 5, xPTS 6.4round 6: 3:3, Points 6, xPTS 7.8round 7: 1:1, Points 7, xPTS 8.8round 8: 3:2, Points 10, xPTS 10.6round 9: 0:2, Points 10, xPTS 11.5round 10: 0:0, Points 11, xPTS 13.0round 11: 2:3, Points 11, xPTS 13.8round 12: 0:1, Points 11, xPTS 16.1round 13: 0:2, Points 11, xPTS 16.7round 14: 1:0, Points 14, xPTS 18.1
Points 14 xPTS 18.1 performance is 4.1 ahead of points

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.00 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.41. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 7.0 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

OpponentVenueDateWinDrawDefeatExpected points
CSKA Moscowaway2026-11-2122%24%54%0.89
Baltika Kaliningradaway2026-11-2818%29%54%0.82
Lokomotiv Moscowhome2026-12-0555%24%21%1.89
Akron Tolyattihome2027-02-2748%30%22%1.74
Rubin Kazanhome2027-03-0646%31%23%1.69

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Akhmat Grozny and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1 · awaySpartak Moscow 1:2 Fakel Voronezh 0:0 · awayKrasnodar 0:1 · awayRostov 4:1 Krylia Sovetov 3:3 Rubin Kazan 1:1 · awayDynamo Makhachkala 3:2 Akron Tolyatti 0:2 · awayBaltika Kaliningrad 0:0 Zenit 2:3 · awayOrenburg 0:1 Dynamo Moscow 0:2 · awayRodina Moscow 1:0 CSKA Moscow · 11.21Baltika Kaliningrad · 11.28Lokomotiv Moscow · 12.05Akron Tolyatti · 02.27Rubin Kazan · 03.06

Club players

Mohamed KonateEgas CacinturaMaksim SamorodovGeorge MelkadzeLechii Sadulaev

Around them in the table

PlaceClubPPointsxPTSΔ
10Orenburg141720.3−3.3
11Dynamo Makhachkala141618.6−2.6
12Akhmat Grozny141418.1−4.1
13Rodina Moscow141212.3−0.3
14Akron Tolyatti141214.6−2.6

Full RPL xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league

ZenitDynamo MoscowSpartak MoscowKrasnodarCSKA MoscowRostovKrylia SovetovRubin KazanBaltika KaliningradOrenburgDynamo MakhachkalaRodina MoscowAkron TolyattiLokomotiv MoscowFakel Voronezh