The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Krylia Sovetov was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 2 | 2.42 | −0.4 | 2.11 |
| Rodina Moscow | 1 | 1.19 | −0.2 | 0.70 |
Krylia Sovetov: −1.6 for the season (9 in the table). Rodina Moscow: −0.1 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.