Krylia Sovetov — Rodina Moscow 2:1
Krylia Sovetov2:1
Rodina MoscowThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score2:1
Home xG2.42Krylia Sovetov
Away xG1.19Rodina Moscow
Expected points2.12 : 0.70
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Krylia Sovetov was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 2 | 2.42 | −0.4 | 2.12 |
| Rodina Moscow | 1 | 1.19 | −0.2 | 0.70 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58' | Ivan Timoshenko | Rodina Moscow | 0.48 | |
| 63' | Martin Kramaric | Krylia Sovetov | 0.52 | Vladislav Shitov |
| 87' | Kirill Stolbov | Krylia Sovetov | 0.02 | Vladislav Shitov |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63' | Martin Kramaric | Krylia Sovetov | 0.52 | goal |
| 39' | Amar Rahmanovic | Krylia Sovetov | 0.48 | off target |
| 58' | Ivan Timoshenko | Rodina Moscow | 0.48 | goal |
Shots: Krylia Sovetov 18, Rodina Moscow 16; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 1.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Krylia Sovetov 0.90, Rodina Moscow 0.38: a small edge for Krylia Sovetov. In the second half xG was Krylia Sovetov 1.53, Rodina Moscow 0.80: a small edge for Krylia Sovetov. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.
How it fits the season
Krylia Sovetov: −4.0 for the season (7 in the table). Rodina Moscow: −0.3 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.