Krylia Sovetov
Rostov
Krylia SovetovRostov · away, 20 Nov 2026
Win 40% · draw 31% · defeat 29%
The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.
Points. 18 points from 22.0 xPTS (−4.0). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 6th in the league, but 7th in the table. Source of the shortfall: extra goals conceded (+4.9 vs xGA).
Attack. 1.35 xG per match — 5th of 16 (league average 1.24): one of the most dangerous attacks in the league. Scored 19 goals from 18.9 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.
Defence. 1.08 xGA per match — 5th of 16 for solidity (league average 1.24): allows few chances near its own goal. Conceded 20 goals from 15.1 xGA — 32% more than expected. Opponents are finishing better than the quality of their chances allows.
Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.28 points per match: expected pace 1.6 points per match vs the current 1.3.
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 1.29 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.58. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 7.9 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Win | Draw | Defeat | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| away | 2026-11-20 | 40% | 31% | 29% | 1.50 | |
| home | 2026-11-29 | 38% | 28% | 34% | 1.42 | |
| away | 2026-12-05 | 40% | 26% | 33% | 1.48 | |
| home | 2027-02-27 | 67% | 18% | 14% | 2.21 | |
| away | 2027-03-06 | 34% | 28% | 38% | 1.30 |
Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Krylia Sovetov and it will write when results and performance diverge.
Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.
| Place | Club | P | Points | xPTS | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 14 | 26 | 23.3 | +2.7 | |
| 6 | 14 | 19 | 16.8 | +2.2 | |
| 7 | 14 | 18 | 22.0 | −4.0 | |
| 8 | 14 | 18 | 15.9 | +2.1 | |
| 9 | 14 | 17 | 23.1 | −6.1 |