Pitch Radar

Krylia Sovetov

RPL · Russia · season 2026/27 · 14 matches · 4W 6D 4L
Place7 of 16
Points18
xPTS22.0
Δ points − xPTS−4.0
Scored / xG19 / 18.9
Conceded / xGA20 / 15.1

Next match

Rostov
VS
Krylia Sovetov

Rostov · away, 20 Nov 2026
Win 40% · draw 31% · defeat 29%

The match in numbers →

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.

What the numbers say

Points. 18 points from 22.0 xPTS (−4.0). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 6th in the league, but 7th in the table. Source of the shortfall: extra goals conceded (+4.9 vs xGA).

Attack. 1.35 xG per match — 5th of 16 (league average 1.24): one of the most dangerous attacks in the league. Scored 19 goals from 18.9 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.

Defence. 1.08 xGA per match — 5th of 16 for solidity (league average 1.24): allows few chances near its own goal. Conceded 20 goals from 15.1 xGA — 32% more than expected. Opponents are finishing better than the quality of their chances allows.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.28 points per match: expected pace 1.6 points per match vs the current 1.3.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

01122 1 14 round 1: 0:0, Points 1, xPTS 1.2round 2: 1:1, Points 2, xPTS 2.0round 3: 0:2, Points 2, xPTS 2.4round 4: 1:4, Points 2, xPTS 3.2round 5: 3:0, Points 5, xPTS 5.5round 6: 3:3, Points 6, xPTS 6.8round 7: 2:2, Points 7, xPTS 7.9round 8: 2:1, Points 10, xPTS 10.1round 9: 1:1, Points 11, xPTS 12.6round 10: 1:1, Points 12, xPTS 15.3round 11: 1:2, Points 12, xPTS 17.4round 12: 2:0, Points 15, xPTS 19.7round 13: 0:3, Points 15, xPTS 20.2round 14: 2:0, Points 18, xPTS 22.0
Points 18 xPTS 22.0 performance is 4.0 ahead of points

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.29 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.58. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 7.9 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

OpponentVenueDateWinDrawDefeatExpected points
Rostovaway2026-11-2040%31%29%1.50
Dynamo Moscowhome2026-11-2938%28%34%1.42
Dynamo Makhachkalaaway2026-12-0540%26%33%1.48
Lokomotiv Moscowhome2027-02-2767%18%14%2.21
Krasnodaraway2027-03-0634%28%38%1.30

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Krylia Sovetov and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

PlaceClubPPointsxPTSΔ
5CSKA Moscow142623.3+2.7
6Rostov141916.8+2.2
7Krylia Sovetov141822.0−4.0
8Rubin Kazan141815.9+2.1
9Baltika Kaliningrad141723.1−6.1

Full RPL xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league