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Rodina Moscow

RPL · Russia · season 2026/27 · 14 matches · 3W 3D 8L
Place13 of 16
Points12
xPTS12.3
Δ points − xPTS−0.3
Scored / xG15 / 13.2
Conceded / xGA29 / 26.3

Next match

Rodina Moscow
VS
Lokomotiv Moscow

Lokomotiv Moscow · at home, 22 Nov 2026
Win 37% · draw 23% · defeat 39%

The match in numbers →

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

Lokomotiv Moscow 37%Orenburg 11%CSKA Moscow 18%

What the numbers say

Points. 12 points from 12.3 xPTS (−0.3). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 16th in the league, but 13th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance more goals conceded than expected (+2.7 vs xGA), but finishing runs above expectation (+1.8 vs xG) — one cancels the other.

Attack. 0.94 xG per match — 12th of 16 (league average 1.24): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 15 goals from 13.2 xG — 14% more than expected. A small finishing bonus, still within the usual spread.

Defence. 1.88 xGA per match — 16th of 16 for solidity (league average 1.24): allows more in front of its own goal than anyone in the league. Conceded 29 goals from 26.3 xGA — 10% more than expected. The gap is small and usually closes over a season.

Playing to its level. Points (12) are close to the quality of play (12.3 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

0612 1 14 round 1: 0:3, Points 0, xPTS 0.1round 2: 2:4, Points 0, xPTS 0.6round 3: 2:1, Points 3, xPTS 1.8round 4: 3:3, Points 4, xPTS 2.2round 5: 1:3, Points 4, xPTS 2.4round 6: 0:3, Points 4, xPTS 2.5round 7: 0:2, Points 4, xPTS 2.7round 8: 1:2, Points 4, xPTS 3.3round 9: 1:1, Points 5, xPTS 5.1round 10: 0:3, Points 5, xPTS 5.5round 11: 2:2, Points 6, xPTS 6.9round 12: 1:0, Points 9, xPTS 9.3round 13: 2:1, Points 12, xPTS 11.0round 14: 0:1, Points 12, xPTS 12.3
Points 12 xPTS 12.3 performance is 0.3 ahead of points

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 0.86 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 0.73. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 3.7 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

OpponentVenueDateWinDrawDefeatExpected points
Lokomotiv Moscowhome2026-11-2237%23%39%1.35
Orenburgaway2026-11-2911%18%71%0.52
CSKA Moscowhome2026-12-0518%19%63%0.72
Baltika Kaliningradaway2027-02-278%17%75%0.41
Dynamo Moscowhome2027-03-0615%21%64%0.67

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Rodina Moscow and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Spartak Moscow 0:3 · awayRostov 2:4 Zenit 2:1 · awayAkron Tolyatti 3:3 Dynamo Moscow 1:3 · awayBaltika Kaliningrad 0:3 Dynamo Makhachkala 0:2 · awayKrylia Sovetov 1:2 · awayRubin Kazan 1:1 CSKA Moscow 0:3 · awayOrenburg 2:2 Fakel Voronezh 1:0 · awayKrasnodar 2:1 Akhmat Grozny 0:1 · awayLokomotiv Moscow · 11.22Orenburg · 11.29CSKA Moscow · 12.05Baltika Kaliningrad · 02.27Dynamo Moscow · 03.06

Club players

German OnugkhaIvan TimoshenkoArtem MaksimenkoSoltmurad Bakaev

Around them in the table

PlaceClubPPointsxPTSΔ
11Dynamo Makhachkala141618.6−2.6
12Akhmat Grozny141418.1−4.1
13Rodina Moscow141212.3−0.3
14Akron Tolyatti141214.6−2.6
15Lokomotiv Moscow141113.6−2.6

Full RPL xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league

ZenitDynamo MoscowSpartak MoscowKrasnodarCSKA MoscowRostovKrylia SovetovRubin KazanBaltika KaliningradOrenburgDynamo MakhachkalaAkhmat GroznyAkron TolyattiLokomotiv MoscowFakel Voronezh