Rodina Moscow — Rostov 2:4
Rodina Moscow
RostovThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Rostov was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moscow | 2 | 0.94 | +1.1 | 0.66 |
| Rostov | 4 | 2.15 | +1.9 | 2.15 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' | Iker Pozo | Rodina Moscow | 0.66 | Artem Maksimenko |
| 15' | Ivan Komarov (penalty) | Rostov | 0.75 | |
| 51' | Mitja Krizan (own goal) | Rostov | — | |
| 55' | Andrey Langovich | Rostov | 0.11 | Konstantin Kuchaev |
| 73' | Oumar Sako (own goal) | Rodina Moscow | — | |
| 89' | Daniel Shantaliy | Rostov | 0.03 | Andrey Langovich |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' | Iker Pozo | Rodina Moscow | 0.66 | goal, header |
| 30' | Ronaldo | Rostov | 0.46 | hit the woodwork, header, from a corner |
| 55' | Andrey Langovich | Rostov | 0.11 | goal |
Shots: Rodina Moscow 8, Rostov 24; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Rodina Moscow 0.76, Rostov 1.76: a clear edge for Rostov. In the second half xG was Rodina Moscow 0.17, Rostov 0.39: about even. Rodina Moscow scored 2 from 0.94 xG: more than they created. Rostov scored 4 from 2.15 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
How it fits the season
Rodina Moscow: −0.3 for the season (13 in the table). Rostov: +2.2 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.