The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Rostov was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moscow | 2 | 0.94 | +1.1 | 0.66 |
| Rostov | 4 | 2.15 | +1.9 | 2.14 |
Rodina Moscow: −0.1 for the season (15 in the table). Rostov: −1.6 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.