Points. 8 points from 9.6 xPTS (−1.6). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 13th in the league, but 12th in the table. Points match the quality of play.
Attack. 0.87 xG per match — 14th of 16 (league average 1.21): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 10 goals from 7.8 xG (+2.2): the ball is going in more often than such chances usually allow. Finishing like this rarely lasts.
Defence. 1.29 xGA per match — 11th of 16 for solidity (league average 1.21). Conceded 17 goals from 11.6 xGA — 5.4 more than expected: opponents are scoring almost everything and the goalkeeper is not helping. But plenty of chances are allowed too — it is not just bad luck.
Playing to its level. Points (8) are close to the quality of play (9.6 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 0.89 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.00. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.0 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akron Tolyatti | home | 2026-10-10 | 1.47 |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | away | 2026-10-17 | 0.54 |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | home | 2026-10-24 | 1.67 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | away | 2026-10-31 | 0.70 |
| Zenit | away | 2026-11-07 | 0.63 |