Rubin Kazan — Akhmat Grozny 1:1
Rubin Kazan1:1
Akhmat GroznyThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score1:1
Home xG1.69Rubin Kazan
Away xG1.26Akhmat Grozny
Expected points1.66 : 1.10
Who deserved it
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.43.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1.69 | −0.7 | 1.66 |
| Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 1.26 | −0.3 | 1.10 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25' | Jacques Siwe (penalty) | Rubin Kazan | 0.75 | |
| 55' | Egas Cacintura | Akhmat Grozny | 0.08 | Mohamed Konate |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46' | Veldin Hodza | Rubin Kazan | 0.41 | off target |
| 68' | Kirill Shchetinin | Akhmat Grozny | 0.11 | blocked |
| 70' | Kalidou Sidibe | Akhmat Grozny | 0.11 | off target, header, from a corner |
Shots: Rubin Kazan 14, Akhmat Grozny 23; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 0.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Rubin Kazan 1.09, Akhmat Grozny 0.34: a small edge for Rubin Kazan. In the second half xG was Rubin Kazan 0.60, Akhmat Grozny 0.94: a small edge for Akhmat Grozny. The edge in chances passed from Rubin Kazan to Akhmat Grozny.
How it fits the season
Rubin Kazan: +2.1 for the season (8 in the table). Akhmat Grozny: −4.1 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.