Pitch Radar

Rubin Kazan

RPL · Russia · season 2026/27 · 9 matches · 2W 6D 1L
Place6 of 16
Points12
xPTS10.3
Δ points − xPTS+1.7
Scored / xG12 / 8.9
Conceded / xGA11 / 11.8

What the numbers say

Points. 12 points from 10.3 xPTS (+1.7). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 11th in the league, but 6th in the table. Points match the quality of play.

Attack. 0.99 xG per match — 12th of 16 (league average 1.21): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 12 goals from 8.9 xG (+3.1): the ball is going in more often than such chances usually allow. Finishing like this rarely lasts.

Defence. 1.31 xGA per match — 12th of 16 for solidity (league average 1.21). Conceded 11 goals from 11.8 xGA — exactly in line with the chances allowed.

Playing to its level. Points (12) are close to the quality of play (10.3 xPTS).

9 matches played. Over this distance the metrics already show a trend, but randomness is still large — treat this as an early signal, not a verdict.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

0612 1 9 round 1: 1:3, Points 0, xPTS 0.2round 2: 2:1, Points 3, xPTS 2.2round 3: 1:1, Points 4, xPTS 2.8round 4: 1:1, Points 5, xPTS 4.8round 5: 1:1, Points 6, xPTS 6.2round 6: 3:1, Points 9, xPTS 7.0round 7: 1:1, Points 10, xPTS 8.8round 8: 1:1, Points 11, xPTS 9.5round 9: 1:1, Points 12, xPTS 10.3
Points 12 xPTS 10.3 points are 1.7 ahead of performance

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.33 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.14. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.7 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.

OpponentVenueDateExpected points
Dynamo Moscowhome2026-10-100.97
Spartak Moscowaway2026-10-170.40
Krylia Sovetovhome2026-10-241.26
Fakel Voronezhhome2026-10-311.71
Lokomotiv Moscowaway2026-11-071.37

Other clubs of the league

Full RPL xPTS table →