Pitch Radar

Bologna — Inter 1:3

Bologna
1:3
Inter
Serie A · 17 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score1:3
Home xG1.77Bologna
Away xG3.60Inter
Expected points0.59 : 2.27

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Inter was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
Bologna11.77−0.80.59
Inter33.60−0.62.27

Goals

MinuteGoalTeamShot xGAssist
9'Tommaso PobegaBologna0.32Juan Miranda
43'Marcus ThuramInter0.27Nicolò Barella
68'Carlos AugustoInter0.81Piotr Zielinski
82'Ange-Yoan BonnyInter0.52Carlos Augusto

Key chances

MinutePlayerTeamxGOutcome
68'Carlos AugustoInter0.81goal
44'Jay EnemBologna0.57off target
75'Petar SucicInter0.56hit the woodwork

Shots: Bologna 11, Inter 17; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 6.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Bologna 1.74, Inter 0.89: a clear edge for Bologna. In the second half xG was Bologna 0.03, Inter 2.90: a big edge for Inter. The edge in chances passed from Bologna to Inter.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Bologna: −2.1 for the season (8 in the table). Inter: +2.0 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All Serie A matches with xG →