The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov — Fakel Voronezh | 1:2 | 1.60 : 0.68 | got lucky |
| Dynamo Makhachkala — Akron Tolyatti | 1:1 | 1.46 : 0.69 | dropped points |
| Lokomotiv Moscow — Krasnodar | 3:3 | 1.70 : 1.26 | even by chances |
Lokomotiv Moscow — 1.70 xG. Opponent: Krasnodar. Result: a draw.
Krylia Sovetov: 1.60 xG against the opponent's 0.68. Result: a defeat.