Krylia Sovetov — Fakel Voronezh 1:2

Krylia Sovetov

1:2

Fakel Voronezh

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Krylia Sovetov created more (1.60 xG against 0.68) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Krylia Sovetov	1	1.60	−0.6	2.03
Fakel Voronezh	2	0.68	+1.3	0.72

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
16'	Clayton Sampaio	Fakel Voronezh	0.04	Ilnur Alshin
24'	Martin Kramaric	Krylia Sovetov	0.29	Kirill Pechenin
66'	Matvey Bardachev	Fakel Voronezh	0.19	Ilnur Alshin

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
31'	Yuri Gorshkov	Krylia Sovetov	0.30	off target
24'	Martin Kramaric	Krylia Sovetov	0.29	goal, header
66'	Matvey Bardachev	Fakel Voronezh	0.19	goal, header, from a corner

Shots: Krylia Sovetov 21, Fakel Voronezh 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Krylia Sovetov 1.08, Fakel Voronezh 0.26: a clear edge for Krylia Sovetov. In the second half xG was Krylia Sovetov 0.51, Fakel Voronezh 0.42: about even. Fakel Voronezh scored 2 from 0.68 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Krylia Sovetov: −4.0 for the season (7 in the table). Fakel Voronezh: −6.5 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Dynamo Makhachkala — Akron Tolyatti 1:1Lokomotiv Moscow — Krasnodar 3:3

All RPL matches with xG →