Bayern Munich — VfB Stuttgart 5:1
Bayern Munich5:1
VfB StuttgartThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score5:1
Home xG4.08Bayern Munich
Away xG1.25VfB Stuttgart
Expected points2.63 : 0.29
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Bayern Munich was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 5 | 4.08 | +0.9 | 2.63 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1.25 | −0.2 | 0.29 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20' | Dayotchanculle Upamecano | Bayern Munich | 0.51 | Joshua Kimmich |
| 51' | Joshua Vagnoman | VfB Stuttgart | 0.07 | |
| 54' | Michael Olise | Bayern Munich | 0.39 | Joshua Kimmich |
| 56' | Joshua Vagnoman (own goal) | Bayern Munich | — | |
| 81' | Aleksandar Pavlovic | Bayern Munich | 0.56 | Ismael Saibari |
| 91' | Luis Díaz | Bayern Munich | 0.45 | Ismael Saibari |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11' | Tiago Tomás | VfB Stuttgart | 0.63 | hit the woodwork |
| 81' | Aleksandar Pavlovic | Bayern Munich | 0.56 | goal |
| 45' | Michael Olise | Bayern Munich | 0.52 | saved |
Shots: Bayern Munich 21, VfB Stuttgart 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 7 and 1.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Bayern Munich 1.91, VfB Stuttgart 0.75: a clear edge for Bayern Munich. In the second half xG was Bayern Munich 2.17, VfB Stuttgart 0.53: a big edge for Bayern Munich. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.
How it fits the season
Bayern Munich: −3.8 for the season (1 in the table). VfB Stuttgart: +0.9 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.