The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Manchester City was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1 | 0.93 | +0.1 | 0.50 |
| Manchester City | 4 | 2.57 | +1.4 | 2.34 |
Crystal Palace: −1.4 for the season (15 in the table). Manchester City: +5.4 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.