Crystal Palace

Next match

Coventry City · away, 21 Nov 2026
Win 30% · draw 23% · defeat 47%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.

What the numbers say

Points. 7 points from 9.5 xPTS (−2.5). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 19th in the league, but 20th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−5.0 goals vs xG).

Attack. 1.50 xG per match — 13th of 20 (league average 1.60): an average attack for this league. Scored 10 goals from 15.0 xG — 33% fewer than expected. Finishing is clearly below par — the chances are the same, so the goals will probably follow.

Defence. 2.37 xGA per match — 20th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.60): allows more in front of its own goal than anyone in the league. Conceded 24 goals from 23.7 xGA — exactly in line with the chances allowed. More goals conceded per match than any club in the league — and the chances handed over are just as generous.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.25 points per match: expected pace 0.9 points per match vs the current 0.7.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 0.70 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.15. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.8 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Crystal Palace and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full EPL xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league