Everton — Manchester United 2:2

Everton

2:2

Manchester United

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.19.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Everton	2	1.06	+0.9	1.49
Manchester United	2	0.87	+1.1	1.19

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
46'	Bryan Mbeumo	Manchester United	0.04	Kobbie Mainoo
82'	Tyrique George	Everton	0.05	Hayden Hackney
87'	Benjamin Sesko	Manchester United	0.41	Luke Shaw
95'	Ainsley Maitland-Niles	Everton	0.03

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
87'	Benjamin Sesko	Manchester United	0.41	goal, header
42'	Thierno Barry	Everton	0.34	off target, header
58'	Thierno Barry	Everton	0.11	blocked

Shots: Everton 18, Manchester United 14; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Everton 0.40, Manchester United 0.23: about even. In the second half xG was Everton 0.66, Manchester United 0.65: about even. Manchester United scored 2 from 0.87 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Everton: +1.4 for the season (6 in the table). Manchester United: −4.5 (18). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Arsenal — Chelsea 2:1

All EPL matches with xG →