Hull City — Everton 2:2

Hull City

2:2

Everton

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Everton created more (2.80 xG against 1.53) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Hull City	2	1.53	+0.5	0.74
Everton	2	2.80	−0.8	2.09

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
47'	Joe Gelhardt	Hull City	0.55	Sorba Thomas
54'	Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall	Everton	0.34	Ainsley Maitland-Niles
67'	Thierno Barry	Everton	0.33	Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
73'	Mohamed Belloumi	Hull City	0.09	Elliot Stroud

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
26'	Thierno Barry	Everton	0.57	saved, header, from a corner
47'	Joe Gelhardt	Hull City	0.55	goal
43'	Nobel Mendy	Hull City	0.50	off target, header, from a corner

Shots: Hull City 9, Everton 15; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 7.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Hull City 0.75, Everton 1.53: a small edge for Everton. In the second half xG was Hull City 0.78, Everton 1.44: a small edge for Everton. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Hull City: +2.0 for the season (13 in the table). Everton: +1.4 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Crystal Palace — Nottingham Forest 3:1Liverpool — Manchester City 0:3

All EPL matches with xG →