Liverpool — Manchester City 0:3

Liverpool

0:3

Manchester City

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Manchester City was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Liverpool	0	0.76	−0.8	0.78
Manchester City	3	1.59	+1.4	1.97

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
64'	Erling Haaland	Manchester City	0.09
67'	Jéremy Doku	Manchester City	0.06	Elliot Anderson
77'	Mathis Cherki	Manchester City	0.75	Josko Gvardiol

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
77'	Mathis Cherki	Manchester City	0.75	goal
59'	Erling Haaland	Manchester City	0.26	off target
20'	Jérémy Jacquet	Liverpool	0.13	saved, from a corner

Shots: Liverpool 13, Manchester City 15; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Liverpool 0.33, Manchester City 0.08: about even. In the second half xG was Liverpool 0.42, Manchester City 1.51: a clear edge for Manchester City. Manchester City scored 3 from 1.59 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Liverpool: +3.1 for the season (4 in the table). Manchester City: +0.1 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Crystal Palace — Nottingham Forest 3:1Hull City — Everton 2:2

All EPL matches with xG →