Newcastle United — Liverpool 2:2

Newcastle United

2:2

Liverpool

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Liverpool created more (3.13 xG against 1.59) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Newcastle United	2	1.59	+0.4	0.66
Liverpool	2	3.13	−1.1	2.19

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
4'	Anthony Elanga	Newcastle United	0.26	William Osula
54'	Cody Gakpo	Liverpool	0.01	Ryan Gravenberch
56'	Joe Willock	Newcastle United	0.07	Yoane Wissa
98'	Dominik Szoboszlai (penalty)	Liverpool	0.76

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
46'	Alexander Isak	Liverpool	0.79	saved, header, from a corner
66'	Yoane Wissa	Newcastle United	0.63	off target
85'	Yoane Wissa	Newcastle United	0.30	saved

Shots: Newcastle United 13, Liverpool 27; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Newcastle United 0.41, Liverpool 0.39: about even. In the second half xG was Newcastle United 1.22, Liverpool 2.75: a big edge for Liverpool. Liverpool scored 2 from 3.13 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Newcastle United: +2.1 for the season (12 in the table). Liverpool: +3.1 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Brighton — Aston Villa 4:0Manchester City — Bournemouth 2:1

All EPL matches with xG →