The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Liverpool created more (3.13 xG against 1.59) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 2 | 1.59 | +0.4 | 0.66 |
| Liverpool | 2 | 3.13 | −1.1 | 2.19 |
Newcastle United: +3.7 for the season (9 in the table). Liverpool: +1.1 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.