The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Brighton was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 4 | 4.00 | +0.0 | 2.91 |
| Aston Villa | 0 | 0.28 | −0.3 | 0.06 |
Brighton: +0.8 for the season (3 in the table). Aston Villa: +0.0 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.