Brighton — Aston Villa 4:0

Brighton

4:0

Aston Villa

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Brighton was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Brighton	4	4.00	+0.0	2.91
Aston Villa	0	0.28	−0.3	0.06

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
7'	Victor Lindelöf (own goal)	Brighton	—
17'	Maxim De Cuyper	Brighton	0.91	Georginio Rutter
29'	Jack Hinshelwood	Brighton	0.80	Diego Gómez
30'	Jack Hinshelwood	Brighton	0.50

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
17'	Maxim De Cuyper	Brighton	0.91	goal
29'	Jack Hinshelwood	Brighton	0.80	goal, header
30'	Jack Hinshelwood	Brighton	0.50	goal

Shots: Brighton 21, Aston Villa 6; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 5 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Brighton 2.92, Aston Villa 0.15: a big edge for Brighton. In the second half xG was Brighton 1.08, Aston Villa 0.13: a clear edge for Brighton. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Brighton: +3.8 for the season (2 in the table). Aston Villa: +2.5 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Manchester City — Bournemouth 2:1Newcastle United — Liverpool 2:2

All EPL matches with xG →