Manchester City — Bournemouth 2:1

Manchester City

2:1

Bournemouth

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Manchester City was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Manchester City	2	2.47	−0.5	2.43
Bournemouth	1	0.71	+0.3	0.41

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
25'	Marcus Tavernier	Bournemouth	0.44	Evanilson
83'	Marc Guehi	Manchester City	0.11	Mathis Cherki
90'	Josko Gvardiol	Manchester City	0.41	Mathis Cherki

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
50'	Marc Guehi	Manchester City	0.53	off target, header, from a corner
74'	Erling Haaland	Manchester City	0.48	saved
25'	Marcus Tavernier	Bournemouth	0.44	goal

Shots: Manchester City 13, Bournemouth 5; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Manchester City 0.76, Bournemouth 0.63: about even. In the second half xG was Manchester City 1.72, Bournemouth 0.08: a big edge for Manchester City.

How it fits the season

Manchester City: +0.1 for the season (3 in the table). Bournemouth: −3.6 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Brighton — Aston Villa 4:0Newcastle United — Liverpool 2:2

All EPL matches with xG →