The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Manchester City was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2 | 2.47 | −0.5 | 2.44 |
| Bournemouth | 1 | 0.71 | +0.3 | 0.41 |
Manchester City: +5.4 for the season (1 in the table). Bournemouth: −4.8 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.