Alavés — Osasuna 5:2

Alavés

5:2

Osasuna

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Osasuna created more (1.64 xG against 1.60) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Alavés	5	1.60	+3.4	1.36
Osasuna	2	1.64	+0.4	1.41

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
26'	Lucas Boyé	Alavés	0.04	Mariano
35'	Mariano	Alavés	0.17	Antonio Sivera
45'	Ante Budimir	Osasuna	0.11	Moi Gómez
50'	Lucas Boyé	Alavés	0.02	Carles Aleñá
63'	Ante Budimir (penalty)	Osasuna	0.74
67'	Lucas Boyé	Alavés	0.44	Ángel Pérez
89'	Pablo Ibáñez	Alavés	0.55	Ángel Pérez

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
89'	Pablo Ibáñez	Alavés	0.55	goal, header
2'	Ante Budimir	Osasuna	0.46	saved
67'	Lucas Boyé	Alavés	0.44	goal, header

Shots: Alavés 12, Osasuna 7; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Alavés 0.31, Osasuna 0.80: a small edge for Osasuna. In the second half xG was Alavés 1.28, Osasuna 0.84: a small edge for Alavés. The edge in chances passed from Osasuna to Alavés. Alavés scored 5 from 1.60 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Alavés: −3.8 for the season (12 in the table). Osasuna: −2.8 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Valencia — Barcelona 0:5Málaga — Levante 0:0Espanyol — Sevilla 1:1

All LaLiga matches with xG →