Osasuna
Osasuna
MálagaMálaga · at home, 22 Nov 2026
Win 58% · draw 22% · defeat 20%
The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.
Points. 12 points from 14.8 xPTS (−2.8). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 13th in the league, but 16th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−3.6 goals vs xG) and extra goals conceded (+2.5 vs xGA).
Attack. 1.30 xG per match — 14th of 20 (league average 1.57): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 12 goals from 15.6 xG — 23% fewer than expected. Finishing is clearly below par — the chances are the same, so the goals will probably follow.
Defence. 1.71 xGA per match — 14th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.57): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 23 goals from 20.5 xGA — 12% more than expected. The gap is small and usually closes over a season.
Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.23 points per match: expected pace 1.2 points per match vs the current 1.0.
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 1.00 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.22. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.1 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Win | Draw | Defeat | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| home | 2026-11-22 | 58% | 22% | 20% | 1.97 | |
| away | 2026-11-29 | 35% | 27% | 37% | 1.34 | |
| home | 2026-12-06 | 50% | 23% | 27% | 1.72 | |
| away | 2026-12-13 | 6% | 11% | 83% | 0.28 | |
| home | 2026-12-20 | 20% | 20% | 60% | 0.81 |
Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Osasuna and it will write when results and performance diverge.
Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.
| Place | Club | P | Points | xPTS | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 11 | 12 | 13.5 | −1.5 | |
| 15 | 12 | 12 | 10.6 | +1.4 | |
| 16 | 12 | 12 | 14.8 | −2.8 | |
| 17 | 12 | 11 | 11.3 | −0.3 | |
| 18 | 12 | 10 | 13.7 | −3.7 |