Points. 7 points from 8.2 xPTS (−1.1). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 10th in the league, but 13th in the table. Points match the quality of play.
Attack. 1.33 xG per match — 12th of 20 (league average 1.64): an average attack for this league. Only 5 goals scored from 8.0 xG (−3.0): the chances are there, the finishing is not. If the chance quality holds, the goals will come.
Defence. 1.77 xGA per match — 13th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.64). Conceded 12 goals from 10.6 xGA — 1.4 more than expected: opponents are scoring almost everything and the goalkeeper is not helping. By chances allowed the defence is league-average — some of these goals come down to bad luck and should drop.
Playing to its level. Points (7) are close to the quality of play (8.2 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 1.17 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.30. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.5 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | home | 2026-09-19 | 1.76 |
| Real Betis | away | 2026-10-11 | 0.75 |
| Racing Santander | home | 2026-10-18 | 1.77 |
| Sevilla | away | 2026-10-25 | 0.98 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | away | 2026-11-01 | 1.24 |