Alavés — Valencia 0:1

Alavés

0:1

Valencia

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Alavés created more (1.31 xG against 0.84) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Alavés	0	1.31	−1.3	1.71
Valencia	1	0.84	+0.2	1.00

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
77'	Luis Rioja	Valencia	0.41	Javier Guerra

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
77'	Luis Rioja	Valencia	0.41	goal
39'	Pablo Ibáñez	Alavés	0.39	off target, header
47'	Ville Koski	Alavés	0.29	saved, header, from a set piece

Shots: Alavés 15, Valencia 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Alavés 0.70, Valencia 0.22: a small edge for Alavés. In the second half xG was Alavés 0.61, Valencia 0.62: about even. Alavés scored 0 from 1.31 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Alavés: −3.8 for the season (12 in the table). Valencia: −3.7 (19). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol 2:1Elche — Real Madrid 2:3

All LaLiga matches with xG →