The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Real Madrid was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 2 | 1.05 | +0.9 | 0.33 |
| Real Madrid | 3 | 3.46 | −0.5 | 2.56 |
Elche: −2.5 for the season (18 in the table). Real Madrid: −1.5 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.