Elche — Real Madrid 2:3

Elche

2:3

Real Madrid

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Real Madrid was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Elche	2	1.05	+0.9	0.33
Real Madrid	3	3.46	−0.5	2.56

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
24'	Matías Dituro (own goal)	Real Madrid	—
32'	Kylian Mbappe-Lottin	Real Madrid	0.36	Yan Diomande
70'	Abiel Osorio	Elche	0.51	Lucas Cepeda
82'	Fernando Niño	Elche	0.07	Josan
90'	Carlos Espí	Real Madrid	0.62	Kylian Mbappe-Lottin

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
37'	Arda Güler	Real Madrid	0.86	off target
90'	Carlos Espí	Real Madrid	0.62	goal
70'	Abiel Osorio	Elche	0.51	goal, header

Shots: Elche 11, Real Madrid 20; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 4.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Elche 0.25, Real Madrid 2.08: a big edge for Real Madrid. In the second half xG was Elche 0.80, Real Madrid 1.48: a small edge for Real Madrid. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Elche: −3.7 for the season (18 in the table). Real Madrid: +2.3 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol 2:1Alavés — Valencia 0:1

All LaLiga matches with xG →