Athletic Club — Elche 1:1

Athletic Club

1:1

Elche

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Athletic Club created more (3.13 xG against 0.82) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Athletic Club	1	3.13	−2.1	2.58
Elche	1	0.82	+0.2	0.31

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
49'	Facundo Buonanotte (penalty)	Elche	0.74
78'	Iñaki Williams	Athletic Club	0.70	Alex Berenguer

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
78'	Iñaki Williams	Athletic Club	0.70	goal
94'	Maroan Sannadi	Athletic Club	0.61	saved, header
5'	Iñaki Williams	Athletic Club	0.60	off target

Shots: Athletic Club 19, Elche 3; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Athletic Club 1.53, Elche 0.00: a big edge for Athletic Club. In the second half xG was Athletic Club 1.59, Elche 0.81: a small edge for Athletic Club. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Athletic Club scored 1 from 3.13 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Athletic Club: −4.2 for the season (7 in the table). Elche: −3.7 (18). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Racing Santander — Alavés 2:1Osasuna — Espanyol 0:2Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano 4:1

All LaLiga matches with xG →