The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Athletic Club created more (3.13 xG against 0.82) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1 | 3.13 | −2.1 | 2.58 |
| Elche | 1 | 0.82 | +0.2 | 0.31 |
Athletic Club: −4.2 for the season (10 in the table). Elche: −2.5 (18). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.