The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Real Madrid was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 4 | 3.12 | +0.9 | 2.40 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1.19 | −0.2 | 0.47 |
Real Madrid: −1.5 for the season (4 in the table). Rayo Vallecano: +0.3 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.