Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano 4:1

Real Madrid

4:1

Rayo Vallecano

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Real Madrid was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Real Madrid	4	3.12	+0.9	2.40
Rayo Vallecano	1	1.19	−0.2	0.47

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
13'	Kylian Mbappe-Lottin (penalty)	Real Madrid	0.74
16'	Álvaro Fernández	Real Madrid	0.47	Kylian Mbappe-Lottin
34'	Jude Bellingham	Real Madrid	0.12	Vinícius Júnior
50'	Sergio Camello	Rayo Vallecano	0.07
90'	Kylian Mbappe-Lottin	Real Madrid	0.11	Arda Güler

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
16'	Álvaro Fernández	Real Madrid	0.47	goal
62'	Giorgi Tsitaishvili	Rayo Vallecano	0.45	off target, header
76'	Denzel Dumfries	Real Madrid	0.35	saved, header, from a set piece

Shots: Real Madrid 24, Rayo Vallecano 18; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Real Madrid 1.92, Rayo Vallecano 0.19: a big edge for Real Madrid. In the second half xG was Real Madrid 1.21, Rayo Vallecano 1.00: about even.

How it fits the season

Real Madrid: +2.3 for the season (2 in the table). Rayo Vallecano: −1.5 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Racing Santander — Alavés 2:1Osasuna — Espanyol 0:2Athletic Club — Elche 1:1

All LaLiga matches with xG →