Racing Santander — Alavés 2:1

Racing Santander

2:1

Alavés

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Alavés created more (2.27 xG against 1.38) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Racing Santander	2	1.38	+0.6	0.88
Alavés	1	2.27	−1.3	1.92

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
17'	Ville Koski	Alavés	0.63
37'	Yassir Zabiri	Racing Santander	0.36	Iñigo Vicente
52'	Yassir Zabiri	Racing Santander	0.59

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
17'	Ville Koski	Alavés	0.63	goal, from a corner
52'	Yassir Zabiri	Racing Santander	0.59	goal
59'	Mariano	Alavés	0.47	saved

Shots: Racing Santander 11, Alavés 16; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 4.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Racing Santander 0.56, Alavés 1.80: a clear edge for Alavés. In the second half xG was Racing Santander 0.81, Alavés 0.86: about even. Alavés scored 1 from 2.27 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Racing Santander: +0.3 for the season (10 in the table). Alavés: −3.8 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Osasuna — Espanyol 0:2Athletic Club — Elche 1:1Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano 4:1

All LaLiga matches with xG →