The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Athletic Club are favourites: 57% to win against 19%. Attack against defence: Athletic Club should create more, 1.56 expected goals a match against 1.27. Espanyol are 4.2 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 8 | 9 | 12 | 15.3 | −3.3 | 1.58 | 1.35 |
| Espanyol | 18 | 10 | 8 | 12.2 | −4.2 | 1.19 | 1.55 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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