Espanyol
Athletic Club
EspanyolAthletic Club · away, 20 Nov 2026
Win 17% · draw 23% · defeat 60%
The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.
Points. 12 points from 15.1 xPTS (−3.1). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 11th in the league, but 13th in the table. Source of the shortfall: a little of both attack and defence: goal difference −1 against an expected −3.4.
Attack. 1.09 xG per match — 17th of 20 (league average 1.57): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 13 goals from 13.1 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.
Defence. 1.37 xGA per match — 8th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.57): mid-table for chances allowed. Conceded 14 goals from 16.5 xGA — 15% fewer than expected. The gap is small, still within the usual spread.
Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.26 points per match: expected pace 1.3 points per match vs the current 1.0.
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 1.00 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.26. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.3 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Win | Draw | Defeat | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| away | 2026-11-20 | 17% | 23% | 60% | 0.74 | |
| home | 2026-11-29 | 52% | 29% | 19% | 1.85 | |
| away | 2026-12-06 | 24% | 28% | 47% | 1.01 | |
| home | 2026-12-13 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 1.34 | |
| away | 2026-12-20 | 35% | 31% | 34% | 1.36 |
Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Espanyol and it will write when results and performance diverge.
Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.
| Place | Club | P | Points | xPTS | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | 13 | 15.7 | −2.7 | |
| 12 | 12 | 13 | 16.8 | −3.8 | |
| 13 | 12 | 12 | 15.1 | −3.1 | |
| 14 | 11 | 12 | 13.5 | −1.5 | |
| 15 | 12 | 12 | 10.6 | +1.4 |