Athletic Club
Real SociedadThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Athletic Club was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3.34 | −1.3 | 2.30 | |
| 1 | 1.54 | −0.5 | 0.57 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13' | Iñaki Williams | 0.29 | Nico Williams | |
| 29' | Luka Sucic | 0.03 | ||
| 46' | Alex Berenguer (penalty) | 0.74 |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1' | Alex Berenguer | 0.97 | off target | |
| 87' | Orri Óskarsson | 0.48 | saved, header, from a corner | |
| 33' | Ander Barrenetxea | 0.43 | saved |
Shots: Athletic Club 13, Real Sociedad 14; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 2.
In the first half xG was Athletic Club 1.78, Real Sociedad 0.49: a clear edge for Athletic Club. In the second half xG was Athletic Club 1.54, Real Sociedad 1.03: a small edge for Athletic Club. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Athletic Club scored 2 from 3.34 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Athletic Club: −4.2 for the season (7 in the table). Real Sociedad: +7.1 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.