Elche — Valencia 0:1

Elche

0:1

Valencia

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Elche created more (1.27 xG against 1.18) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Elche	0	1.27	−1.3	1.43
Valencia	1	1.18	−0.2	1.30

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
68'	Umar Sadiq	Valencia	0.73	Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
68'	Umar Sadiq	Valencia	0.73	goal
93'	Federico Redondo	Elche	0.35	saved, header, from a set piece
65'	Umar Sadiq	Valencia	0.30	saved

Shots: Elche 16, Valencia 5; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Elche 0.30, Valencia 0.06: about even. In the second half xG was Elche 0.98, Valencia 1.12: about even. Elche scored 0 from 1.27 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Elche: −3.7 for the season (18 in the table). Valencia: −3.7 (19). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Getafe — Sevilla 3:1Racing Santander — Real Madrid 0:3Athletic Club — Real Sociedad 2:1

All LaLiga matches with xG →