Barcelona — Real Madrid 1:2

Barcelona

1:2

Real Madrid

LaLiga · 25 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score1:2

Home xG1.64Barcelona

Away xG1.95Real Madrid

Expected points1.20 : 1.58

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Real Madrid was the better side by chances too.

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Barcelona	1	1.64	−0.6	1.20
Real Madrid	2	1.95	+0.1	1.58

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
40'	Kylian Mbappe-Lottin	Real Madrid	0.52
60'	Raphinha	Barcelona	0.06	Pedri
86'	Kylian Mbappe-Lottin	Real Madrid	0.62	Eduardo Camavinga

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
86'	Kylian Mbappe-Lottin	Real Madrid	0.62	goal
40'	Kylian Mbappe-Lottin	Real Madrid	0.52	goal
43'	Lamine Yamal	Barcelona	0.38	off target

Shots: Barcelona 18, Real Madrid 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.

In the first half xG was Barcelona 0.72, Real Madrid 0.90: about even. In the second half xG was Barcelona 0.93, Real Madrid 1.04: about even.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

Barcelona: +3.7 for the season (1 in the table). Real Madrid: +2.3 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.