Celta Vigo
Real BetisThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.27.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.80 | −0.8 | 1.12 | |
| 0 | 1.07 | −1.1 | 1.56 |
There were no goals in this match.
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92' | Troy Parrott | 0.36 | off target | |
| 22' | Pablo Durán | 0.33 | saved | |
| 21' | Natan | 0.12 | off target, header, from a corner |
Shots: Celta Vigo 12, Real Betis 15; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.
In the first half xG was Celta Vigo 0.63, Real Betis 0.31: a small edge for Celta Vigo. In the second half xG was Celta Vigo 0.17, Real Betis 0.76: a small edge for Real Betis. The edge in chances passed from Celta Vigo to Real Betis. Real Betis scored 0 from 1.07 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Celta Vigo: −2.7 for the season (11 in the table). Real Betis: +7.9 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.