The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 38% home, 26% draw, 37% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.46 and 1.59 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Real Betis have taken 6.2 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 14 | 7 | 7 | 8.7 | −1.7 | 1.09 | 1.31 |
| Real Betis | 3 | 7 | 16 | 9.8 | +6.2 | 1.88 | 1.83 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.