The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Osasuna was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 1 | 0.11 | +0.9 | 0.21 |
| Osasuna | 2 | 1.90 | +0.1 | 2.62 |
Celta Vigo: −1.7 for the season (14 in the table). Osasuna: −1.1 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.