Elche vs Atlético Madrid: match prediction
ElcheVS
Atlético MadridThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win22%Elche
Draw21%
Away win57%Atlético Madrid
Expected points, home0.87
What to expect
Atlético Madrid are favourites: 57% to win against 22%. Attack against defence: Atlético Madrid should create more, 1.89 expected goals a match against 1.29. Read the table with care: Atlético Madrid have taken 7.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 18 | 12 | 10 | 13.7 | −3.7 | 1.31 | 1.92 |
| Atlético Madrid | 3 | 12 | 28 | 21.0 | +7.0 | 1.85 | 1.27 |
Recent matches
Elche — 
Real Betis 0:2Elche — 
Valencia 0:1
Rayo Vallecano — Elche 0:3
Villarreal — Elche 0:0Elche — 
Celta Vigo 0:0Atletico Madrid — 
Barcelona 1:2
Levante — Atletico Madrid 0:2Atletico Madrid — 
Deportivo La Coruna 1:0
Espanyol — Atletico Madrid 0:1
Alaves — Atletico Madrid 1:2Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions