Málaga vs Barcelona: match prediction

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

Barcelona are favourites: 90% to win against 3%. Attack against defence: Barcelona should create more, 2.80 expected goals a match against 1.09. Málaga are 4.5 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

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