Málaga
Real SociedadThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Real Sociedad was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.92 | +0.1 | 1.06 | |
| 5 | 2.57 | +2.4 | 1.76 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2' | Takefusa Kubo | 0.02 | Hector Fort | |
| 25' | Orri Óskarsson | 0.38 | ||
| 53' | Adrián Niño | 0.36 | Pablo Martínez | |
| 58' | Mikel Oyarzabal | 0.08 | Takefusa Kubo | |
| 65' | Pablo Martínez | 0.05 | ||
| 66' | Mikel Oyarzabal | 0.05 | Jon Martín | |
| 72' | Gonçalo Guedes | 0.51 |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72' | Gonçalo Guedes | 0.51 | goal | |
| 20' | Adrián Niño | 0.42 | saved | |
| 25' | Orri Óskarsson | 0.38 | goal |
Shots: Málaga 17, Real Sociedad 21; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 4.
In the first half xG was Málaga 0.54, Real Sociedad 1.10: a small edge for Real Sociedad. In the second half xG was Málaga 1.40, Real Sociedad 1.46: about even. Real Sociedad scored 5 from 2.57 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Málaga: −4.5 for the season (20 in the table). Real Sociedad: +7.1 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.