Celta Vigo — Alavés 2:1

Celta Vigo

2:1

Alavés

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Alavés created more (1.18 xG against 0.76) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Celta Vigo	2	0.76	+1.2	1.02
Alavés	1	1.18	−0.2	1.68

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
52'	Ferrán Jutglà	Celta Vigo	0.39	Javier Rodríguez
70'	Javier Rodríguez	Celta Vigo	0.12	Iago Aspas
86'	Hugo Novoa Ramos	Alavés	0.07	Mariano

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
32'	Lucas Boyé	Alavés	0.43	saved, header
52'	Ferrán Jutglà	Celta Vigo	0.39	goal
70'	Javier Rodríguez	Celta Vigo	0.12	goal

Shots: Celta Vigo 6, Alavés 20; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Celta Vigo 0.15, Alavés 0.47: a small edge for Alavés. In the second half xG was Celta Vigo 0.61, Alavés 0.74: about even. Celta Vigo scored 2 from 0.76 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Celta Vigo: −2.7 for the season (11 in the table). Alavés: −3.8 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Osasuna — Racing Santander 2:0Málaga — Real Sociedad 2:5Real Madrid — Sevilla 4:1

All LaLiga matches with xG →