Real Madrid — Sevilla 4:1

Real Madrid

4:1

Sevilla

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Real Madrid was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Real Madrid	4	2.12	+1.9	1.88
Sevilla	1	1.32	−0.3	0.91

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
29'	Arda Güler	Real Madrid	0.07	Yan Diomande
36'	Kylian Mbappe-Lottin	Real Madrid	0.60	Jude Bellingham
62'	Kylian Mbappe-Lottin (penalty)	Real Madrid	0.74
79'	Manu Bueno	Sevilla	0.05	Lucas Stassin
81'	Yan Diomande	Real Madrid	0.05	Aurelien Tchouameni

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
36'	Kylian Mbappe-Lottin	Real Madrid	0.60	goal
2'	Robbie Ure	Sevilla	0.45	saved
83'	Youssouf Fofana	Sevilla	0.32	saved

Shots: Real Madrid 15, Sevilla 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Real Madrid 1.04, Sevilla 0.56: a small edge for Real Madrid. In the second half xG was Real Madrid 1.05, Sevilla 0.76: about even. Real Madrid scored 4 from 2.12 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Real Madrid: +2.3 for the season (2 in the table). Sevilla: +2.5 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Osasuna — Racing Santander 2:0Celta Vigo — Alavés 2:1Málaga — Real Sociedad 2:5

All LaLiga matches with xG →