Le Mans — Brest 2:2

Le Mans

2:2

Brest

Ligue 1 · 22 Aug 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score2:2

Home xG0.77Le Mans

Away xG2.63Brest

Expected points0.40 : 2.45

Who deserved it

A draw, but Brest created more (2.63 xG against 0.77) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Le Mans	2	0.77	+1.2	0.40
Brest	2	2.63	−0.6	2.45

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
30'	Romain Del Castillo	Brest	0.22	Kamory Doumbia
46'	Dame Gueye	Le Mans	0.46	Louis Mafouta
54'	Louis Mafouta	Le Mans	0.10	Adil Bourabaa
61'	Kamory Doumbia	Brest	0.95

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
61'	Kamory Doumbia	Brest	0.95	goal, from a corner
46'	Dame Gueye	Le Mans	0.46	goal
30'	Romain Del Castillo	Brest	0.22	goal

Shots: Le Mans 8, Brest 26; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Le Mans 0.20, Brest 0.94: a small edge for Brest. In the second half xG was Le Mans 0.56, Brest 2.02: a clear edge for Brest. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Le Mans scored 2 from 0.77 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.